Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XTZ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-19 0.903449 1.016991 1.140827 1.286164 1.452377 1.636892 1.857736
2025-01-26 0.734667 0.889598 1.072781 1.306418 1.598000 1.951860 2.416799
2025-02-02 0.645035 0.819524 1.037180 1.330768 1.719679 2.221708 2.926112
2025-02-09 0.575676 0.760240 1.000651 1.340114 1.812490 2.454505 3.406765
2025-02-16 0.521157 0.711270 0.968247 1.345705 1.893940 2.673547 3.888317
2025-02-23 0.483211 0.679229 0.953163 1.370190 2.000082 2.933954 4.457422
2025-03-02 0.435028 0.627057 0.903162 1.336637 2.013960 3.055376 4.824324
2025-03-09 0.410159 0.605873 0.895220 1.363467 2.120127 3.326549 5.460775
2025-03-16 0.378705 0.571588 0.863837 1.349666 2.158632 3.491208 5.936952
2025-03-23 0.357214 0.550483 0.850362 1.362102 2.239605 3.732284 6.573789
2025-03-30 0.331425 0.520289 0.819619 1.342563 2.263349 3.875990 7.050044
2025-04-06 0.310853 0.496751 0.797462 1.334896 2.305873 4.055572 7.614362
2025-04-13 0.282471 0.458622 0.748823 1.278174 2.257044 4.067176 7.860997
2025-04-20 0.270569 0.447273 0.744495 1.299435 2.353334 4.361157 8.718296
2025-04-27 0.260199 0.437628 0.742097 1.323526 2.456710 4.679389 9.670838
2025-05-04 0.248385 0.424503 0.732385 1.332827 2.531829 4.949057 10.556679
2025-05-11 0.237014 0.411280 0.721363 1.338383 2.599571 5.210467 11.461709
2025-05-18 0.229155 0.403803 0.720177 1.362720 2.707727 5.568908 12.646500
2025-05-25 0.214281 0.382353 0.691302 1.329370 2.691457 5.654894 13.187101
2025-06-01 0.208122 0.376772 0.692069 1.356038 2.806168 6.045328 14.545669
2025-06-08 0.197546 0.362066 0.674120 1.342320 2.830695 6.231914 15.409358
2025-06-15 0.190724 0.354129 0.668824 1.354681 2.914636 6.567108 16.720994
2025-06-22 0.180897 0.339674 0.649522 1.335261 2.923646 6.722740 17.565710